Tipshade
Six leagues · four markets · live UK books
Model the match.
Price the line.
Corners, shots, over/under and BTTS — scored as probabilities, then matched to the exact UK book line when it exists. The board is the overlay. Nothing else.
01
Ingest
FBref fixtures, shots, corners and xG — six leagues, rolling form.
02
Model
Dixon-Coles goals, Poisson shots, negative binomial corners. Probability, not a tip.
03
Price
Match each line to a UK book. Edge is model probability × book odds − 1.