Methodology

Tipshade is a modelling site, not a tipster sheet and not a bookmaker. This page is what the numbers on the site mean.

How a match is priced

Each fixture gets a chance of every score, from how often each side creates and concedes chances. From that we price totals, both teams to score, team goals, first-half goals, and double chance.

A short run of results does not rewrite a club. Thin samples stay closer to a typical side in that league.

What goes on the board

The board at /picks is UK-priced singles: Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Under 3.5, BTTS, team over 1.5, first-half over 0.5, and 1X/X2. A line appears when our price and the book are far enough apart. Match result, corners, and correct score stay on the match page.

At most three lines per match, and one market cannot take over the list. Team-goal prices on the board are UK books.

Accas and your draft

Official accas are our slips, locked when they are published. If there are not enough legs worth including, the slip stays empty. Draft is your own slip, including lines that are not on the board.

The ledger

When a line is published, the chance and the first UK price are locked. Later prices do not rewrite it, and they do not reshuffle the board. Full-time scores settle the line. First-half markets use the half-time score. A unit is one stake at the locked price. The ledger opens on hit rate.

Past results do not mean the next board wins. If the priced record is down, that is the number we show.

What this is not

Not betting advice, not a promise of profit, not a live in-play model. 18+ only. See Terms and Safer gambling.